PAO-CSKA ( 1 ; 157,5 under) ✖️ ✔️

CSKA today is waiting for one of the most difficult trips in the calendar. And Athens does not get used to the army team, but in most cases the matches are very difficult.

We will not discover America, if we assume that the army team today can lose another match and lose the chances of first place. If the team lost 5 of the last 7 trips in the tournament, then this is definitely not just an accident or a coincidence. CSKA just forgot how to win complex matches. Because the game in the VTB  does not teach this. Look at how degraded in the game plan Fridzon, Vorontsevich, Antonov, Augustine! Lost confidence in their abilities, opportunities, they are increasingly becoming jokers coming off the bench, although they could well pull the role of key players.

Itudis himself cuts his wings by constantly twitching the composition during the matches and distrust of the players of the second link. W don't know what  will lead to, but so far nothing good smells. We know it's clear that De Colo and Teodosich rule the ball at the club, but let them better rule by the ending, where they are not enough good. In the playoffs, no one will come to Moscow with the thought "it would be faster to leave home from this cold country". There will be a real fight, and until there is no impression that the army team is so well prepared that this one go into this fight with an open visor.

For the Greeks this match is more important. The victory can give the Greeks the advantage of their field in the playoffs. In the game plan, everything seems to be quite good. 13-1 in the season of the house can not help but impress, and CSKA are not afraid of the Greeks. Moreover, all the tickets for the OAKA arena have been sold today. Pascual has built his team a decent defense, which in quality in home games is second only to Olympiakos and Crvena Zvezda. A strong defense - this is what CSKA is afraid this season. The problem of the Greeks is the quality of the attack (0.96 points / possession), which leaves much to be desired due to the lack of top-level players. Medium players can not play better than they can. Therefore, the Greeks and occupy a place in the middle of the table for the implementation of throws.

Forecast
Panantinaikos 79 - 75 CSKA Moscow

In relation to the total there is a small margin towards total under. We are
sure that we are waiting for the game at an average pace, but there are questions about the total percentage and nature of the game. In principle, both teams can take advantage of errors in the defense and go to 160 points. Therefore, I do not propose here an official for a total less. But the layouts are still more in the direction of the grass-roots match up to 157 points. Our statistics in favor of the fact that the line should be at the level of 153 points. To bet on total, you need at least 159 points.

Expected pace: 145 attacks;
Corridor of the effectiveness of the hosts: 0.99-1.10 points / attack;
Corridor of visitors' performance: 1.03-1.11 points / attack;
Expected corridor total: 149-160 points

With respect to the outcome, a "healthy" line should be about +3 per host, but we are given a +1 due to all that is written above. Bookmakers are waiting for the victory of the Greeks in their field and want to see the audience's money on the side of CSKA, which on paper seems to be also in the correspondence fight with Real Madrid. But do not forget that Real has a face over CSKA Moscow, where a lighter calendar at the finish line and play with Olympiakos in the semifinals in Madrid, too, do not want.

We think that Panantinaikos today has a good chance of winning, but we do not really like the price for which we are offered to take the Greeks.

Recommended "under review" rates:

Victory of PAO @ 2,10 Mozzart
Total is less than 157.5 @ 1.90 Mozzart